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Work to do (10% to 39%): WR T.Y. While injuries have cost Watt 32 games over the past four seasons, his unprecedented four-season peak from 2012 to 2015 locked up things. It's not too late to play with friends and family. Work to do (10% to 39%): DE DeMarcus Lawrence, DT Gerald McCoy, LB Leighton Vander Esch. Like Hill, if Kelce gets three more seasons with Mahomes, I think he's a Hall of Famer. Complicating things for Johnson is the logjam of candidates at his position. The induction process, like so many things, is on hold. That means Robinson (who is coming off . Work to do (10% to 39%): OT Andrew Thomas. Evans is on pace to join Randy Moss as the only other player in NFL history to open his career with six consecutive 1,000-yard receiving campaigns. Nelson doesn't play a high-profile position, but he's off to a great start. Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Matthew Stafford, CB Jeff Okudah. "Nuk" has been a first-team All-Pro in each of his past three seasons, which is the sort of run that earns skill-position players a trip to Canton on their own. In the running (40% to 69%): RB Christian McCaffrey. Both are locks for election. Eagles fans will be furious, but the reality is that Wentz has made one Pro Bowl and hasn't won a playoff game or led the league in a major statistical category (outside of fumbles) during his first four seasons. This site .css-110721q{color:#0079F0;}contains commercial content. He has been phenomenal while winning one Super Bowl, and came within an interception of winning a second, but he has also never been considered the best quarterback in football or garnered a single MVP vote. Exhibits Interactive Experiences Gear Shop Pit Stop Caf Accessibility Champ the Cheetah. Below them are the players who are In the running (between 40% and 69%), and then the players who have Work to do to get on the Hall of Fame radar, who come in between 10% and 39%. Likely (70% to 99%): S Earl Thomas. We don't talk enough about Hunter, who only has two Pro Bowl nods over his first five seasons. Tony Kornheiser and Michael Wilbon both expect Frank Gore to get into the Pro Football Hall of Fame, but do not see him as a lock to get into Canton. If you were asked to name off the top of your head the three best NFL receivers to enter the league at 21, you might say Moss, Larry Fitzgerald and DeAndre Hopkins. He is a graduate of Southwest Texas State University and Bowie High School in Austin. As he turns 30 in September, Gilmore probably needs at least two more seasons in which he has a credible case as the best cornerback in football -- or a really long peak. Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, Picking the top bounce-back candidates for all 32 NFL teams, Football historians talk about the game in a previous pandemic, Ranking the NFL's top 25 prospects: Young players who could break out in 2020, last attempted something like this column in June 2016, 42.6% of voters thought Rivers was a Hall of Famer, honor his request and trade the 25-year-old, trading a first-rounder to the Bills in 2009. Join our linker program. Edelman's case rests entirely on playoff and Super Bowl production. Will the Dolphins get a veteran QB? Julio Jones (2011-17): 8,076, two-time All-Pro, will be a Hall-of-Famer Jerry Rice (1985-89): 7,370, Hall-of-Famer, greatest receiver of all time Randy Moss (1998-2003): 7,258, Hall-of-Famer Torry Holt (1999-2004): 7,147, most yards through five years in NFL history Beasley won a sack title. to put up the accumulation stats often needed to bolster a Hall-of-Fame case. Orlovsky sounds off on Wentz not making top 100 list. The former Ozen High star and 14-year NBA vet has more on his mind than basketball, offering essays on life, his family and America. Author: Nate Greer. White got his just due last season and was named a first-team All-Pro while tying for the league lead in interceptions (six). The players listed below are the top 250 HOFm-rated players who played WR starting in 1955 or later for at least 50 career games. Mathieu is a great player and just turned 28, so he still has plenty of time, but he probably needs four or five more Pro Bowl seasons or a DPOY victory to really get in the discussion. James was a first-team All-Pro as a rookie, and while he missed 11 games in 2019 with a foot injury, he should get back on track in 2020. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Gore had the misfortune of playing for some bad San Francisco and Indianapolis teams, but his numbers are certainly impressive. There could still be a season in which Mike Zimmer needs to use Barr as an edge rusher and he ends up with 10 sacks, but that's not going to be enough. Guy earned six Pro Bowl nominations and three All-Pro picks before turning 30. Likely (70% to 99%): RB Ezekiel Elliott, G Zack Martin, OT Tyron Smith. Let's see whether we can get a sense of who those 50 are right now: Jump to a team: In 1996, he decided to play football full-time. He started his career with seven Pro Bowls in seven seasons, which is rarefied air. While he has made six Pro Bowls, that's not typically enough for interior linemen to make it into the Hall. When: 1999-2004 These two probably had the greatest four-year stretch in NFL history. There aren't any Dolphins who would appear to have greater than a 10% chance of making the Hall of Fame. Roy Williams is the lone Hall-eligible safety who didn't follow his early success to Canton. The only eligible player with that sort of rsum who hasn't made it to Canton is Webb, and while Webb was also a left tackle, he didn't make a single Pro Bowl after turning 30. Lattimore has two Pro Bowl appearances in his first three seasons; if you throw out early-career players like Lattimore, Jalen Ramsey and Marcus Peters, eight of the 11 corners to pull that off since the merger are either in the Hall of Fame or going there. If you need something more, Fitzgerald's 2008 playoff run is probably the best postseason from any receiver in league history. Hightower has made huge plays in two Super Bowls, having stuffed Marshawn Lynch at the 1-yard line and strip-sacked Matt Ryan, but he has rarely gotten the regular-season attention he deserves. You can't make the Hall of Fame while you're still in pads, but Mike Evans has been making his case over the past six seasons. The Nebraska product nearly won a Super Bowl with the Rams in 2018, but a win with the Bucs and one more All-Pro appearance would greatly help his chances. Lock (100%): TE Jason Witten. Work to do (10% to 39%): TE Jimmy Graham, CB Kyle Fuller. But history suggests that his on-field performance makes him a Hall of Fame lock. Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Carson Wentz, TE Zach Ertz, CB Darius Slay. In the running (40% to 69%): DE Danielle Hunter, S Harrison Smith. Witten is also the only Hall of Fame candidate on the Raiders' roster. Six of the seven men ahead of him are in the Hall, with the exception of Peppers. If Evans goes his entire career without gaining widespread notoriety or making a memorable run in the playoffs even if he has a long and steadily productive career and is regarded as one of the top receivers of his generation his chances to make the Hall of Fame will be materially diminished. 1 pick and winning Offensive Rookie of the Year, but that hasn't historically been a helpful combination. The Cal product has five Pro Bowls and a first-team All-Pro appearance through his age-30 season. Rodgers is a three-time All-Pro, a member of the 2010s All-Decade Team and so much more. With their city hosting the Final Four, the Cougars don't shy from national title talk. I think Patrick Willis is going to make it in after an eight-year career in which he racked up seven Pro Bowl appearances and five first-team All-Pro nods and retired as he turned 30. But playing on so many bad Eagles teams delayed his entry into the Hall of Fame. Wagner also has a Super Bowl victory and, quite famously, an MVP vote from Tony Dungy on his rsum. The Hall of Fame receiver responded with a $100 million defamation lawsuit. All seven players who did that and who are eligible for the Hall are in, and the list of ineligible guys includes Hill, Patrick Willis, Joe Thomas, Adrian Peterson, Patrick Peterson, Zack Martin and Aaron Donald. Unfortunately, Houston fans have had to wait through the years to see their stars get inducted. But as a running back who has been above average or good seemingly forever, he's getting in. On a weekly basis, Evans is a volatile player, but his year-over-year production has been incredibly consistent. He made it to four Pro Bowls in his first five seasons with the Ravens, and while that's the sort of production we associate with Hall of Famers, he wasn't able to earn a first-team All-Pro nod over that stretch. Since 1950, 12 players have won two or more rushing titles. Baker was a first-team All-Pro in 2017 and a two-time Pro Bowler, although his 2017 awards were for special-teams work, which isn't valued as highly by voters. Edelman has never made a Pro Bowl, but the only player with more receiving yards in the playoffs is Jerry Rice. If Murray breaks out in Year 2, he'll be on the fast track. Landry's hip surgery then looms as a problem; if he can get past it and keep this up, he profiles as a borderline Hall of Famer. Elroy "Crazylegs" Hirsch, future Hall of Fame wide receiver, led the best draft class in Rams history in 1945. Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Joe Burrow. All but Gronkowski generated controversial off-field headlines, but the Hall voters only debate what is accomplished on the field. He made only two Pro Bowls with the Cardinals, which was a farce. He's an easy Hall of Famer. Joe Fortenbaugh breaks down why Julio Jones is the safer bet over DeAndre Hopkins to lead the league in receiving yards. Timing can matter for players, and it has been weird for Suh. We have tools and resources that can help you use sports data. Often, I'm making an educated guess as to what would get a player in by looking at which accomplishments and plaudits matter more to voters. Buckner made the Pro Bowl in 2018, but he was otherwise underappreciated during his four seasons in the Bay Area. Hilton, DE Justin Houston, DT DeForest Buckner, CB Xavier Rhodes. Watt, with his three Defensive Player of the Year awards with the Texans, will for sure give Houston another Hall of Famer. If pro football did what hockey used to and waive the waiting period for the likes of Gordie Howe, Wayne Gretzky and Mario Lemieux, it could be argued Brady deserves the same treatment. I would put Gronkowski's chance somewhere around 99%. Hes top-10 in passing yards and touchdowns, so hell get a gold jacket at some point, if not on the first ballot. Likely (70% to 99%): QB Russell Wilson, LB Bobby Wagner. With Anthony Harris hoovering up interceptions and Jamal Adams and Minkah Fitzpatrick emerging, 31-year-old Smith probably needs to earn that nod in the next year or two. Newton has an MVP award, which goes a long way toward pushing any player into the Hall of Fame. Where does Evans slot in? And thanks to coach Kelvin Sampson and the assistants he Solomon: DeMeco Ryans the right coach at the right time, 3 pressing questions facing new Astros GM Dana Brown, Jabari Smith Jr. growing up in NBA with an assist from his father, Poor parent behavior is driving high school sports refs away. The site navigation utilizes arrow, enter, escape, and space bar key commands. As long as Willis gets in, Wagner could retire tomorrow and follow his former rival right through the front door. Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction? Inside linebackers generally need to become Defensive Player of the Year candidates and earn multiple first-team All-Pro appearances to get serious consideration for Canton, but Edmunds is off to a great start. McCaffrey could turn into LaDainian Tomlinson, but what if he's more like Shaun Alexander, who won league MVP at his peak and never really got serious Hall of Fame consideration? Adams has two Pro Bowls and an All-Pro nod across his first three seasons, putting him in a group with safeties such as Kenny Easley, Steve Atwater, Ed Reed and Troy Polamalu. If Brown has a Whitworth-esque autumn to his career, he has a shot. Jackson does an incredible job of avoiding hits and getting out of bounds, but there's naturally going to be questions about whether a quarterback can run the ball 10 times per game in the modern NFL and have a 15-year career as a starter. Pro Football WR Hall of Fame Monitor The Pro Football Reference Hall of Fame Monitor (HOFm) is a metric designed to estimate a player's chances of making the Pro Football Hall of Fame using AV, Pro Bowls, All-Pros, championships, and various stat milestones. Inductees Nominees Induction Weekend Induction Process Landmark Award Squier-Hall Award Blue Jacket & Class Ring. Hekker got a two-season head start, but he has been a first-team All-Pro four times before turning 30 in February. Five seasons of 100 receptions or more plus a few others that flirted with 100 make Johnson one of the most reliable wide receivers in NFL history. Over that five-year span, Landry ranks third in the NFL in catches and seventh in receiving yards. As good as third-year receiver Chris Godwin has been for the Bucs this season, its hard to say that hes anything more than the Anquan Boldin to Evans Fitz. Grading the Jamal Adams trade Just play along. Cliff Branch and Herman Moore are two of the few exceptions, but their performance fell off significantly after their third All-Pro trip and never recovered to their prior level. Making sense of Mahomes' deal Likely (70% to 99%): CB Richard Sherman. Edelman has never made a Pro Bowl, but the only . Randy Moss. In the running (40% to 69%): QB Cam Newton, CB Stephon Gilmore. Even so, I think hell eventually get there. Round 1: Kiper | McShay | NFL Nation This trio is. He played 16 seasons, but never led the league in any notable statistical category other than interceptions. Matthew Freedman poses and answers the burning question about Evans' future Hall of Fame chances. Watt's last name and presence on a high-profile defense won't hurt. If McCaffrey can piece together even two more seasons at his 2019 level and add two or three more like his 2018 campaign, that might be enough to make it to the Hall of Fame. Lock (100%): QB Ben Roethlisberger. Get started >>. The suspension hurts Peterson's chances, but with eight Pro Bowls and three All-Pro appearances across his first eight seasons, his prior track record was impeccable. He deserves it. Of the 35 Hall-eligible players who have won that trophy since the merger, 11 are in, and that number will rise in the years to come. In the running (40% to 69%): DE Joey Bosa, S Derwin James. While Hunter's chances are probably somewhere in the 65% range, Smith is closer to the lower end of the spectrum in the 40% zone. Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports. Whitworth was criminally underrated during his time in Cincinnati, earning just one Pro Bowl nod during his first nine seasons with the Bengals. Likely (70% to 99%): WR DeAndre Hopkins, CB Patrick Peterson. Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Jared Goff, OT Andrew Whitworth, P Johnny Hekker. Work to do (10% to 39%): WR JuJu Smith-Schuster, G David DeCastro, DE Cameron Heyward, S Minkah Fitzpatrick. In the running (40% to 69%): C Maurkice Pouncey, LB T.J. Watt. What will the Buffalo Bills do without defensive coordinator Leslie Frazier? Do you have a sports website? Published: August 24, 2021. Work to do (10% to 39%): RB Le'Veon Bell, LB C.J. The Hall of Fame Game, like the rest of the preseason, has been canceled during the coronavirus pandemic. Elroy 'Crazylegs' Hirsch, future Hall of Fame wide receiver, led the best draft class in Rams history in 1945. He doesn't need that sort of individual production to make it to the Hall of Fame, but the guys who made it in without a single first-team All-Pro appearance needed something else.